The darker the color, the more favorable the climate conditions are for survival. The outlined areas represent approximate current range for each season. More on reading these maps.
Of all the small banded plovers in the model area, the Wilson’s Plover is the one most tightly associated with ocean beaches and adjoining salt marshes. Thus, it may be the plover most affected by rising sea levels. Audubon's climate model projects a 77 percent loss of current winter range by 2080, showing the species’ favorable climatic conditions penetrating inland, notably in and around the lower Colorado River drainage. A site like the Salton Sea in inland southern California seems plausible for colonization by the plover—and, indeed, there is a breeding record there from the early 20th century. But a key question remains unanswered: will the Salton Sea even be there in 2080?