The darker the color, the more favorable the climate conditions are for survival. The outlined areas represent approximate current range for each season. More on reading these maps.
A range-restricted habitat specialist, the Florida Scrub-Jay is the sort of species that sets off climate-change alarm bells. Audubon's climate model portends a problematic future for this sought-after Florida endemic, with none of the currently suitable climate space forecast to exist in that condition by century’s end. Some movement northward may be possible, but only if the scrub-jay’s habitat—scrub oak—is available. Such habitat is itself vulnerable to climate change, not to mention development. The model shows a fair bit of suitable climate space opening up in Arizona and southern California, but this sedentary jay is highly unlikely to disperse that far.