The darker the color, the more favorable the climate conditions are for survival. The outlined areas represent approximate current range for each season. More on reading these maps.
This handsome, already endangered species breeds only in juniper-oak scrub on Texas’s Edwards Plateau, a region barely discernible on the map in year 2000 only. By 2080, areas with a suitable climate have all but evaporated, with Audubon's climate model showing contraction by a 89 percent and a shift entirely away from the current breeding season range, leaving a very uncertain future for the Golden-cheeked Warbler. If the plant community—junipers in particular—can make the shift along with the climatic conditions, the species may be able to adjust, but the precise soil conditions that permit the warbler’s favored habitat to thrive simply can’t follow the plants. The birds may have to depend on their favored plants withstanding climate change where they already are.
Are the projected range maps different from the range maps in field guides? Find the answer here.