The darker the color, the more favorable the climate conditions are for survival. The outlined areas represent approximate current range for each season. More on reading these maps.
A flash of black, white, and geranium red through an oak tree in a southwestern canyon will probably turn out to be a Painted Redstart. This species is named after a superficial similarity to the rather unrelated American Redstart, and the Painted Redstart’s white-patched tail lends the species to perhaps be more properly called the “Painted Whitestart.” (Start means tail.) There are few data for this species in the U.S., which constrains projections. However, the Audubon climate model predicts nearly total shift in winter climate space in the southwestern United States, and on a pace and scale that this species may have challenges matching.